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LOAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential infrastructure development and regulatory support could increase LOAN demand, enhancing returns over 2 years given historical patterns.

Bearish Case: Concerns about bridge collapse risks and rising defaults may suppress LOAN prices, reflective of negative trends over recent periods.

Potential Outcomes: Infrastructure growth boosts demand: 30%
Increased defaults: 25%
Regulatory support stabilizes market: 20%
Continued flat trading: 25%

April 22, 2025

Manhattan Bridge Forecast

LOAN Manhattan Bridge

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LOAN

TIGR UP Fintech (0.75)

VST Vistra (0.73)

MAIN Main Street (0.72)

RL Ralph Lauren (0.71)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LOAN

FLR Fluor (-0.0)

FLYW Flywire (-0.0)

HXL Hexcel (0.01)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.01)

RVMD Revolution Medicines (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LOAN

GES Guess (-0.58)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.6)

BCE BCE (-0.63)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.65)

CAL Caleres (-0.72)

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