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LOAN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential infrastructure development and regulatory support could increase LOAN demand, enhancing returns over 2 years given historical patterns.

Bearish Case: Concerns about bridge collapse risks and rising defaults may suppress LOAN prices, reflective of negative trends over recent periods.

Potential Outcomes: Infrastructure growth boosts demand: 30%
Increased defaults: 25%
Regulatory support stabilizes market: 20%
Continued flat trading: 25%

April 22, 2025

Manhattan Bridge Forecast

LOAN Manhattan Bridge

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LOAN

KC Kingsoft Cloud (0.77)

TIGR UP Fintech (0.75)

MP MP Materials (0.75)

VST Vistra (0.73)

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LOAN

FLR Fluor (-0.0)

MBUU Malibu Boats (0.0)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.01)

UL Unilever (-0.01)

BA Boeing (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LOAN

STM New York Shares (-0.67)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.68)

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.7)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (-0.71)

CAL Caleres (-0.72)

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