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LYV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: With strong historical returns and high call option volumes, LYV is poised for potentially significant growth, benefiting from increased demand for live events.



Bearish Case: Legal challenges, monopoly scrutiny, and high implied volatility might drive near-term downside. The negative price-to-book ratio suggests inherent value concerns, risking further declines.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Growth (60%): Booming event demand and investor optimism.

2. Decline (30%): Legal and fiscal risks looming large.

3. Stability (10%): Mean-reverting tendencies stabilize prices.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish credit spread by selling Feb 21 $145 puts and buying Feb 21 $130 puts, capitalizing on current volatility. Offers a favorable risk-reward with positive edge and 71% odds of profit. This strategy aligns with mean-reverting behavior and bullish option volumes.


February 11, 2025


Live Nation Entertainment Forecast

LYV        Live Nation Entertainment

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