Bullish Case: MBB's recent uptrend, AI forecast neutrality, and implied bullish risk signal are tailwinds, despite historical underperformance.


Bearish Case: Historical price declines, flat recent price action, and high implied volatility suggest potential downside.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market correction (30%): Decreased MBB price.

2. Steady state (50%): Continued flat price action.

3. Upswing trigger (20%): Unforeseen positive event drives price up.


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March 23, 2024


BTC iShares MBS Forecast

MBB        BTC iShares MBS
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MBB



SPTL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SPTL]  Active Trust - SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury (0.93)


VGLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VGLT]  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Long-Term Treasury (0.93)


VCLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VCLT]  Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (0.89)


EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EDV]  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (0.89)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TGTX]  TG Therapeutics (0.88)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MBB



AXON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AXON]  Axon Enterprise (-0.0)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VGT]  Vanguard Information Technology (-0.0)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLBE]  Global E Online (0.0)


HSBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HSBC]  HSBC (0.0)


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [NYCB]  New York Community Bancorp (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MBB



UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UCO]  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.76)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RRC]  Range Resources (-0.77)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CNX]  CNX Resources (-0.79)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [UUP]  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.8)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TBT]  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.97)





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