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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish

Bullish Case: MCHI shows a downward trend in implied volatility leading into early 2025, aligning with expected economic recovery. As mean reversion continues, a rise in call volume indicates increased bullish sentiment, suggesting potential price gains ahead.

Bearish Case: The high implied volatility indicates potential turmoil, with market uncertainty potentially leading to further price declines. If external factors, such as geopolitical tensions or poor economic data, arise, MCHI could experience significant setbacks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price recovery to $45 (40%).

2. Continued stagnation around $41 (30%).

3. Market corrections pushing prices down to $38 (20%).

4. Strong upward momentum toward $50 (10%). Predictions are based on volatility trends and external economic factors.

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September 19, 2024


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