MDLZ Forecast


Bullish Case: Mondelez’s innovation and strong brand demand position it well for future growth. Low volatility and expansion into emerging markets enhance its bullish outlook.




Bearish Case: Rising costs, insider selling, and quality control issues may challenge Mondelez. Current high bearish risk and market conditions suggest cautious sentiment Helium.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth (55%) driven by innovation and market demand.
  • Flat performance (30%) due to high market correlations and mean reversion Helium.
  • Downside risks (15%) from quality issues and economic pressures .




Trading Oracle: Sell a near-term credit put spread: sell $55.00 puts, buy $52.00 puts, targeting a 75% probability of profit. Implied volatility suggests stability or slight upside, capturing premium efficiently as volatility flattens post-backwardation .



January 23, 2025


Mondelez International Forecast

MDLZ        Mondelez International











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