MDLZ Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Strong brand demand, outperforming Q1 earnings, and innovation in the SnackFutures program provide a healthy growth trajectory for MDLZ. Historical price return surface reflects positive short-term returns.


Bearish Case: High market correlations, recent insider selling, and mean-reverting price action suggest potential downside. Elevated implied volatility highlights market anxiety over MDLZ’s short-term prospects.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth driven by innovation and market demand (60%).

2. Modest gains neutralized by market correlations (30%).

3. Downside due to inflationary pressures and investor caution (10%).


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June 10, 2024


Mondelez International Forecast

MDLZ      Mondelez International











Correlated Stocks

Assets that tend to move strongly with MDLZ



MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.86)


LH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LH  Laboratory Corp. Of America (0.76)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.75)


KIRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KIRK  Kirkland's (0.75)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.75)



Uncorrelated Stocks

Assets with little price relationship to MDLZ



RSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RSG  Republic Services (-0.0)


MAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAT  Mattel (-0.0)


CBOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBOE  Cboe Global Markets (0.0)


DECK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DECK  Deckers Outdoor (0.0)


CARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CARR  Carrier (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stocks

Assets that tend to move strongly against MDLZ



SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.63)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.67)


MRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRO  Marathon Oil (-0.69)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.69)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.72)





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