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MFA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MFA's high dividend yield and mean-reverting trends suggest potential recovery. Increased institutional interest is likely to boost confidence.

Bearish Case: Sustained economic pressures and high implied volatility indicate continued downside risk, with limited recovery potential amidst lingering macro concerns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Dividend appeal attracts investors, stabilizing price.

2. (30%) Economic challenges lead to further declines.

3. (30%) High volatility sparks unpredictable price movement.

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April 16, 2025

MFA Financial Forecast

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