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MFA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MFA's high dividend yield and mean-reverting trends suggest potential recovery. Increased institutional interest is likely to boost confidence.

Bearish Case: Sustained economic pressures and high implied volatility indicate continued downside risk, with limited recovery potential amidst lingering macro concerns.

Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Dividend appeal attracts investors, stabilizing price.

2. (30%) Economic challenges lead to further declines.

3. (30%) High volatility sparks unpredictable price movement.

Trading Oracle: The bearish long volatility strategy is optimal given current high IV and economic uncertainties. It exploits potential downside while benefiting from volatility expansion. Bearish Long Volatility Strategy

April 16, 2025

MFA Financial Forecast

MFA MFA Financial

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MFA

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.89)

JOE St. Joe (0.85)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (0.85)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.84)

ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MFA

RING BTC iShares MSCI Global G (-0.0)

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.01)

POST Post (-0.01)

DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.02)

RY Royal Bank Of Canada (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MFA

FRSH Freshworks (-0.68)

DAVE Dave (-0.68)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.7)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.73)

CPRT Copart (-0.74)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.