Maximize Returns with AI-Powered MFA Trading Strategies




MFA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: MFA’s high dividend yields and undervaluation (P/B ratio of 0.7) attract yield-focused investors amid a cautious recovery in the financial sector.



Bearish Case: Persistent economic challenges and high implied volatility suggest continued downward pressure on MFA, further exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Continued high dividends draw investor interest, stabilizing prices.
  • 30%: Weak fundamentals and economic challenges push prices lower.
  • 35%: Volatility spikes due to unforeseen macro events.



Trading Oracle: Implement a medium-term bearish credit spread. Sell near-the-money call options with higher immediate IV and buy further OTM calls. Given price mean reversion and macro risks, target a 6-month horizon. Capture premium decay while maintaining a protective stance against unexpected volatility spikes.


January 30, 2025


MFA Financial Forecast

MFA        MFA Financial

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MFA


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.76)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.75)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.74)


THS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   THS  Treehouse Foods (0.71)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MFA


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.0)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.0)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (-0.01)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MFA


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (-0.6)


NEXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEXT  NextDecade (-0.61)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.61)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)


FREY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FREY  FREYR Battery (-0.71)







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