MFA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MFA’s high dividend yields and undervaluation (P/B ratio of 0.7) attract yield-focused investors amid a cautious recovery in the financial sector.




Bearish Case: Persistent economic challenges and high implied volatility suggest continued downward pressure on MFA, further exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainties.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Continued high dividends draw investor interest, stabilizing prices.
  • 30%: Weak fundamentals and economic challenges push prices lower.
  • 35%: Volatility spikes due to unforeseen macro events.




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January 30, 2025


MFA Financial Forecast

MFA        MFA Financial











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MFA



LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.75)


EOLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOLS  Evolus (0.75)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.74)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.69)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MFA



JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (0.0)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.0)


CINF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CINF  Cincinnati Financial (-0.0)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (0.01)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MFA



GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.6)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.6)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.61)


TMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMV  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.68)


FREY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FREY  FREYR Battery (-0.71)









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