MINT Forecast


Bullish Case: MINT's historical return surface indicates a mean-reverting trend with limited downside risk and potential for small positive drift, aligning with recent stabilization in the energy sector and MiCA regulations potentially increasing liquidity.


Bearish Case: MINT's high implied volatility across most strike prices and significant bearish risk (97%) suggest the market's apprehension about future price action, indicating potential downward bias amid global economic uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes: High probability (60%) that MINT will hover near $100 with minor upside. Macro events can introduce small downside risk (<2%). Stable returns expected given MINT’s historical mean reversion.


Trading Oracle: Sell bearish credit spreads: Sell 100.00 Call, Buy 101.00 Call expiring 11/15/24. Aim to capitalize on high implied volatility decay and Mean Reversion. Low risk, high probability of profit, and positive reward:risk profile. Leverage historical stability and volatility data.


July 14, 2024


PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active Exch Forecast

MINT      PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active Exch











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MINT



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.88)


SFM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SFM  Sprouts Farmers Market (0.88)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (0.86)


ANF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANF  Abercrombie & Fitch (0.86)


WSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSM  Williams-Sonoma (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MINT



AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.0)


UNIT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNIT  Uniti (-0.0)


NNOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NNOX  Nano X Imaging (-0.0)


ALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALK  Alaska Air (-0.0)


MO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MO  Altria (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MINT



CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (-0.86)


LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (-0.87)


MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.87)


LAZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAZR  Luminar (-0.87)


PRTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRTA  Prothena (-0.88)





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