MKTX Forecast


Bullish Case: MarketAxess' expansion in emerging markets and new innovations in trading platforms support sustained growth, with a stronger institutional client base indicating positive momentum.


Bearish Case: Continued insider selling and high volatility risk coupled with mean-reverting price behavior suggest potential stagnation or decline, influenced by mixed analyst sentiment.


Potential Outcomes: Continued expansion and new acquisitions (45%); negative impact from insider selling and market conditions (35%); stagnation driven by uncertain macro factors (20%).


Trading Oracle: Deploy bullish debit spreads with call options. Target $230 strike with 60-90 DTE. Long volatility strategy leverages both emergent growth and accounts for risk, maximizing risk-reward ratio.


July 17, 2024


MarketAxess Forecast

MKTX      MarketAxess











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MKTX



FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.85)


PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.85)


FIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVN  Five9 (0.85)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.84)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MKTX



GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (0.0)


VTYX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTYX  Ventyx Biosciences (-0.0)


BSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSY  Bentley Systems (-0.0)


ARVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARVN  Arvinas (0.0)


CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFLT  Confluent (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MKTX



FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.75)


TUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TUR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Turkey (-0.76)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.8)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.8)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.82)





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