MNOV Forecast


Bullish Case: New patents for MN-166 enhance MNOV's oncology pipeline value, promising significant upside if Ongoing trials succeed. Recent clinical developments indicate efficacy in vital therapeutic areas, potentially driving investor demand.


Bearish Case: MNOV's historical performance and flat price action indicate persistent downside risk. Trial failures and capital raises could further erode shareholder value amidst negative sentiment.


Potential Outcomes: Key outcomes include successful MN-166 trials (25%): price surge, approval delays (40%): moderate decline, capital raise (20%): dilution, ongoing trial failures (15%): major decline.


Trading Oracle: Considering the high volatility and implied volatility in current options, executing a bullish debit spread is optimal. Buy MNOV 01/17/2025 2.50 Calls at $0.65, sell 01/17/2025 5.00 Calls at $1.00. The 6-month horizon captures potential positive catalysts from trial results.


July 20, 2024


Medicinova Forecast

MNOV      Medicinova











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