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MOO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Increased agribusiness demand and surging call option interest could drive MOO towards $75, capitalizing on historical support and recent market trends.

Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and bearish option activity suggest risks of decline towards $65, exacerbated by economic downturns and market uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable prices around $68 (40%).

2. Rise to $75 (25%).

3. Decline to $65 (20%).

4. Sharp rise above $80 (10%).

5. Drop below $60 (5%).

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February 21, 2025

VanEck Vectors Agribusiness Forecast

MOO VanEck Vectors Agribusiness

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MOO

HUN Huntsman (0.92)

PPG PPG Industries (0.92)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (0.89)

CNI Canadian National Railway (0.88)

WU Western Union (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MOO

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.0)

STX Seagate Technology (0.01)

EIX Edison International (0.02)

VTRS Viatris (-0.03)

ESTC Elastic (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MOO

IVW BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares S&P 500 Growth (-0.73)

SAP Sap SE (-0.74)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.74)

VIRT Virtu Financial (-0.74)

TGTX TG Therapeutics (-0.75)

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