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Bullish Case: MOTI's diversified international exposure positions it to capitalize on a potential global economic recovery, as suggested by historical trends showing positive returns over extended periods. The easing of geopolitical tensions may further drive demand, enhancing growth prospects.

Bearish Case: Persistent geopolitical and economic uncertainties may suppress MOTI's performance, evidenced by recent flat price actions and risks reflected in historical return patterns. Continued instability could lead to further downside, impacting investor sentiment negatively.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic recovery boosts international markets (40%);

2. Extended geopolitical instability leads to downturns (30%);

3. Continued flat performance based on market sentiment (20%);

4. Major unexpected economic indicators trigger volatility (10%).

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September 21, 2024