MPLX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong growth prospects, underpinned by stable fundamentals and strategic capital expansion, offer price upside. Attractive yield sustains investor interest.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks, low trading volumes, and market volatility may restrict MPLX’s growth, increasing downside risk. Energy transitions pose long-term challenges.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued stable cash flow drives moderate growth (40%).

2. Regulatory challenges impact price negatively (35%).

3. Short-term market volatility causes fluctuations (25%).




Trading Oracle: Adopting a Bullish Short Volatility strategy, utilize the current stable volatility surface. Sell $50 put options and buy $42 put options [link](https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/MPLX/premium-printer/put). This captures premium amidst stable market sentiment and mitigates downside risk.



February 26, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MPLX



ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (0.91)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.91)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.9)


ITOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITOT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.9)


AGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGX  Argan (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPLX



TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.01)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.01)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.02)


RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (0.02)


SAIA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAIA  Saia (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPLX



BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.83)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (-0.83)


AMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMN  AMN Healthcare Services (-0.86)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.87)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)









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