MRNA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Moderna's expanding AI integration streamlines operations, enhancing productivity. Key patent-defended, high-grossing mRNA technology may win significant legal battles, buoying financial stability and investor confidence.


Bearish Case: Ongoing intense patent litigations could drain resources and lead to substantial financial losses. Public mistrust rises due to vaccine safety concerns and DNA contamination, potentially leading to reduced vaccine uptake.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Patent trial win boosts royalties and cements IP dominance (20%).

2. Safety concerns slash vaccine sales (30%).

3. Successful AI and drug innovation raises operational efficiency and market cap (50%).


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May 01, 2024


Moderna Forecast

MRNA        Moderna
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











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SILK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SILK  Silk Road Medical (0.84)


KMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KMB  Kimberly-Clark (0.83)


TXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXN  Texas Instruments (0.81)


NEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEE  NextEra Energy (0.81)


AIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIV  Apartment Investment (0.8)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MRNA



BLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLK  Blackrock (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.0)


DIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIS  Walt Disney (0.0)


SBAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBAC  SBA Communications (0.0)


ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRNA



IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.65)


UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.66)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.66)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (-0.68)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.7)





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