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MSA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MSA's recent acquisition boosts strategic positioning, increasing investor confidence in stability and growth, supported by positive sentiment and institutional backing.

Bearish Case: High put option volumes and uncertainty in macro conditions suggest potential overvaluation may lead to price pressure below current levels.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Mean reversion to $170 (60%);

2. Breakout above $175 on strategic developments (25%);

3. Drop to $160 due to market instability (15%).

June 27, 2025

MSA Safety Forecast

MSA MSA Safety

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSA

$TEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies$ TEX Terex (0.9)

NVO Novo Nordisk (0.9)

KSS Kohl's (0.9)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (0.9)

COTY Coty (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSA

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.01)

SCHD Schwab US Dividend Equity (-0.01)

OMF OneMain (0.01)

DVY BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Select Dividend (-0.02)

VRT Vertiv (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSA

CRK Comstock Resources (-0.8)

PPL PPL (-0.81)

VRSN Verisign (-0.84)

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.85)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (-0.87)

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