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MSA Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: MSA's historical price action indicates strong mean reversion behavior. The significant upside potential remains evident as implied volatility trends suggest a forthcoming bullish rally post-correction, especially with institutional backing likely propelling the price upward.

Bearish Case: High market uncertainty persists, with the majority of trades reflecting significantly bearish sentiment. If economic conditions shift negatively or insider selling intensifies, MSA could face substantial downside risks, possibly below $160.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Price rebound to ~$180 (60% chance).

2. Breakout above $200 on positive news (20% chance).

3. Price decline below $160 amid increased selling pressure (20% chance).

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November 15, 2024

MSA Safety Forecast

MSA MSA Safety

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSA

VLO Valero Energy (0.82)

FANG Diamondback Energy (0.8)

BNO United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (0.79)

SMCI Super Micro Computer (0.77)

XOP SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.76)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSA

BKR Baker Hughes (-0.0)

WPM Wheaton Precious Metals (0.0)

TAN Invesco Solar (-0.01)

MOS Mosaic (-0.01)

BBY Best Buy (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSA

GILD Gilead Sciences (-0.68)

XEL Xcel Energy (-0.69)

PTON Peloton Interactive (-0.69)

COO Cooper Companies (-0.71)

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (-0.78)

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Bullish / Bearish

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