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MSC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The historical return surface shows rare but significant positive returns for long holdings. Recent upticks suggest potential for continued upside if tourism and leisure spending maintain momentum.

Bearish Case: The price action remains mean-reverting, with the MSC's historical return surface indicating high likelihood of underperformance over short holding periods. Market uncertainties and sentiment volatility add risks.

Potential Outcomes: Ongoing tourism recovery boosts MSC by year-end (40%).
Market conditions worsen causing decline (35%).
Sustained flat performance amid mixed sentiment (25%).

July 04, 2025

Studio City International Forecast

MSC Studio City International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSC

DOW Dow (0.87)

KSS Kohl's (0.86)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (0.86)

OMC Omnicom Group (0.85)

DIN Dine Brands (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSC

LULU Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.0)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.01)

PNR Pentair (0.02)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.03)

CMI Cummins (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSC

SAP Sap SE (-0.82)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.83)

VRSN Verisign (-0.84)

SRAD Sportradar Group AG (-0.85)

LRN Stride (-0.87)

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