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MTH Forecast


Bullish Case: MTH's strong historical returns and geographic expansion could drive further demand. The current market sentiment appears positive, with increased call option volume suggesting bullish investor outlooks.



Bearish Case: Persistently high mortgage rates and market volatility pose risks to MTH's growth, potentially leading to decreased housing demand and continued insider selling that could pressure the stock price further.



Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued growth through geographical expansion (60%);

2) High mortgage rates reduce demand (75%);

3) Increased insider selling compounds pressures (40%);

4) Positive economic indicators boost sentiment (30%).



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November 14, 2024


Meritage Homes Forecast

MTH        Meritage Homes

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MTH


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.88)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.86)


IIPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IIPR  Innovative Industrial Properties (0.85)


EVRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVRG  Evergy (0.85)


DHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHI  D.R. Horton (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTH


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (0.0)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.01)


COO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COO  Cooper Companies (0.01)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.01)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTH


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.7)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.71)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (-0.72)


EWCZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWCZ  European Wax Center (-0.74)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.8)







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