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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Murphy Oil's recent discoveries and stabilizing oil prices suggest potential recovery. Institutional interest and a low P/B ratio add to the bullish outlook.



Bearish Case: Persistent insider selling and high volatility indicate significant downside risk. The recent price drop coupled with poor trading volume amplifies bearish sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of price stability around current levels given flat implied volatility.
  • 35% chance of further declines due to insider selling.
  • 25% chance of recovery following strategic projects and potential market catalysts.



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May 28, 2025


Murphy Oil Forecast

MUR        Murphy Oil

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VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.96)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MUR


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (-0.0)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.0)


APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (0.0)


RICK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RICK  RCI Hospitality (0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MUR


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.87)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.88)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.89)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.9)


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