MVIS Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong potential partnerships in the ADAS market and mean-reverting price action can drive sudden upward moves.


Bearish Case: Ongoing high competition, deteriorating financial health, and negative Helium price forecast suggest further declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive tech innovation/news, 20%;

2. Continued downward trend, 50%;

3. Stagnant movement without catalysts, 30%.


Trading Oracle: Utilize a bearish long volatility strategy with put debit spreads between $1.00 and $1.50 strikes, expiring in ~3 months. High probability-of-profit due to backwardation and high implied volatility. Robust reward:risk dynamics observed.


July 13, 2024


Microvision Forecast

MVIS      Microvision











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MVIS



JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (0.94)


CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (0.94)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.94)


U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   U  Unity Software (0.93)


CHGG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHGG  Chegg (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MVIS



PLNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLNT  Planet Fitness (-0.0)


CIVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIVI  Civitas Resources Inc New (0.0)


NLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NLY  Annaly (-0.0)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOCN  DigitalOcean (0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MVIS



SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (-0.82)


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.85)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BJ  BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.85)


ACGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACGL  Arch (-0.89)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.91)





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