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NAVI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential cost-cutting measures can improve margins, and Helium's higher volatility suggests a market underestimating upside potential. Reduced operational costs may further attract investors.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory challenges with poor social sentiment suggest continued downside risk. Elevated put activity indicates market concern about future price declines.

Potential Outcomes: 25% expense cuts improve profits.
35% layoffs indicate industry decline.
15% regulatory impacts worsen.
25% earnings underperform expectations.

April 20, 2025

Navient Forecast

NAVI Navient

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NAVI

TXT Textron (0.87)

JOE St. Joe (0.84)

FERG (0.82)

CAL Caleres (0.79)

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NAVI

PTLO Portillos (0.0)

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.01)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.01)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NAVI

BBAR BBVA Argentina (-0.64)

TIGR UP Fintech (-0.64)

HIMX Himax (-0.65)

MAIN Main Street (-0.67)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (-0.73)

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