NKE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Nike's focus on digital transformation and direct-to-consumer sales, combined with successful new product launches, supports potential revenue growth and stock recovery.




Bearish Case: Intense competition, high inventory levels, and challenges in market share recovery pose risks of ongoing margin pressures and potential price decline.




Potential Outcomes: Nike maintains strong China sales growth (60%); faces competitive pressures from Adidas (50%); reduced earnings from consumer slowdown (35%).




Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish short volatility strategy via credit spreads. Sell $76 puts, buy $73 puts, expiring in 7 days. High edge potential with Helium’s positive outlook. Target 71% chance of profit, leverage near-term volatility contraction.



February 02, 2025










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