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NOAH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The historical mean-reverting nature, high call volume, and potential catalysts from strategic partnerships suggest a possible price rebound for NOAH in the medium term.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and ongoing skepticism may lead to further downside, reflecting persistent market uncertainty and systemic challenges.

Potential Outcomes: Mean reversion leads to a short-term rebound (40%).
Continued skepticism results in further decline (35%).
Unexpected catalyst triggers increased volatility (25%).

March 18, 2025

Noah Forecast

NOAH Noah

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOAH

RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties (0.67)

LAC Lithium Americas (0.65)

NTNX Nutanix (0.61)

MNST Monster Beverage (0.58)

CAT Caterpillar (0.56)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOAH

FRO Frontline (0.0)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (-0.0)

PM Philip Morris International (-0.0)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.0)

GIL Gildan Activewear (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOAH

AMC AMC Entertainment (-0.48)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.49)

JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.52)

WNS WNS Holdings Limited (-0.55)

RIVN Rivian Automotive (-0.71)

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