NOV Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: NOV has potential upside due to increased energy demand and lower helium implied volatility versus market levels, suggesting trader confidence.




Bearish Case: High market implied volatility and weak historical returns indicate risk, especially amidst uncertain market conditions for energy stocks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance: Modest rally driven by energy demand.
  • 30% chance: Flat market as investor sentiment remains cautious.
  • 30% chance: Decline due to high volatility and regulatory pressures.




Trading Oracle: Consider a Bullish Short Volatility strategy by selling ATM put options and buying more OOTM put options. This exploits current high implied volatility, betting on limited downside while capturing premiums as prices stabilize.



March 02, 2025


NOV Forecast

NOV        NOV











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOV



RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.94)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.93)


SLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLB  Schlumberger (0.93)


PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.93)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOV



VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.0)


VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (-0.0)


XPOF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPOF  Xponential Fitness (0.01)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.01)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOV



ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (-0.85)


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.85)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.86)


ARGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARGT  Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (-0.87)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.87)









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