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NTRS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: NTRS shows strong bullish signals with robust fundamentals, low implied volatility, and undervaluation providing room for upward movement.



Bearish Case: NTRS faces potential downside given geopolitical risks, increased put volumes, and sector volatility, suggesting caution is warranted.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Sideways trading at 50% chance.
  • 10% chance of rally to $90.
  • 40% chance of declining under macro pressures.



Trading Oracle: Consider bullish debit spreads—buy Feb $110 calls, sell $115 calls. NTRS's low IV and bullish skew favor a 2-month horizon trade with positive edge potential. Target mid-Feb for profit capture, leveraging mean-reversion and forecast optimism.


January 17, 2025


Northern Forecast

NTRS        Northern

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NTRS


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.95)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (0.94)


VTV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTV  Vanguard Value (0.92)


COF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COF  Capital One Financial (0.92)


ZION Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZION  Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NTRS


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.02)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (-0.03)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (0.03)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NTRS


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.79)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.8)


IEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IEP  Icahn (-0.8)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.81)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)







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