Bullish Case: Northern Trust sees growth in assets under management, benefiting from the overall positive global economic outlook [Metaculus].


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Bearish Case: Increased competition and regulatory challenges may impact Northern Trust's growth prospects and market share [Reuters].


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Takeaway: Northern Trust's future growth depends on its ability to navigate the competitive landscape and regulatory environment while capitalizing on market opportunities [Metaculus][Reuters].


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Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth in assets under management (60%)

2. Stagnation due to competitive pressures (30%)

3. Significant negative impact from regulatory challenges (10%).


May 23, 2023


Northern Forecast

[NTRS]  Northern
BEARISH

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