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NVDA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NVIDIA's AI advancements and strong data center demand drive optimism. The continuing innovation and partnerships, like with Toyota on autonomous driving, position NVIDIA favorably for future growth.

Bearish Case: Rising competition from firms like Huawei in AI chips, coupled with regulatory challenges and geopolitical tensions, threaten NVIDIA's market share, impacting growth trajectories negatively.

Potential Outcomes: AI demand sustains NVDA growth (65%)
Regulatory impacts hinder sales (20%)
Market share loss to competitors (15%)

Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish call debit spread: Buy NVDA $150 call, sell $160 call for July 2025 expiry. Leverage elevated volatility in term structure for potential AI-driven growth. This setup balances high reward:risk with 75% chance of profit.

January 24, 2025

NVIDIA Forecast

NVDA NVIDIA

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TXRH Texas Roadhouse (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NVDA

LEN Lennar (-0.0)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.0)

SKYT SkyWater Technology (-0.0)

MMS Maximus (-0.01)

TS Tenaris S.A. (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NVDA

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.85)

SRG Seritage Growth Properties (-0.85)

BRKR Bruker (-0.85)

COTY Coty (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.91)

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