NYC Forecast


Bullish Case: Stabilization in local economies linked to tourist resurgence, coupled with effective management of the migrant housing crisis, could uplift property demand, leading to positive returns for NYC REIT.




Bearish Case: Persisting socio-political turmoil and crime rates may lead to diminished investor confidence, resulting in further declines in property values and negatively impacting NYC REIT performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Socio-political resolution: 30%
  2. Increased crime affects investments: 40%
  3. Stabilization of housing increases real estate demand: 25%
  4. Tourism rebound leads to economic growth: 20%
  5. Continued negative sentiment from social issues: 35%




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November 23, 2024


New York City REIT Forecast

NYC        New York City REIT











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC



CIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIM  Chimera Investment (0.81)


NTAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTAP  Netapp (0.75)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.74)


SRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRE  Sempra Energy (0.74)


HRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HRB  H&R Block (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC



PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.0)


CVAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVAC  CureVac (0.0)


GPRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPRK  Geopark (-0.01)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (-0.01)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLBE  Global E Online (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC



ANDE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANDE  Andersons (-0.76)


CSGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSGP  Costar Group (-0.77)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.77)


TALO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALO  Talos Energy (-0.77)


NICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NICE  NICE (-0.85)









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