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NYC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NYC's mean-reverting behavior suggests potential upside, supported by stable indicators and AI forecasting a 1.63% increase. Prolonged holding periods historically yield positive returns.

Bearish Case: Ongoing socio-political unrest and environmental concerns may continue dampening NYC's appeal, potentially negating mean reversion benefits and challenging REIT valuations.

Potential Outcomes: Socio-political stabilization: 30%
Ongoing unrest, negative impact: 40%
Housing market stabilization: 30%

June 11, 2025

New York City REIT Forecast

NYC New York City REIT

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NYC

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.75)

FNV Franco-Nevada (0.74)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.72)

TRI Thomson-Reuters (0.71)

GFI Gold Fields (0.7)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NYC

UPST Upstart (0.0)

KEYS Keysight (-0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.01)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.01)

OMF OneMain (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NYC

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.72)

DIN Dine Brands (-0.72)

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.74)

CMCSA Comcast (-0.74)

MTN Vail Resorts (-0.74)

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