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OKTA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: OKTA's strategic partnerships and enhanced security measures boost market position. Strong call volume suggests optimism, echoing bullish sentiment across social media. Term structure points to reduced volatility over time.

Bearish Case: Recent security breaches and competitive pressure from firms like CyberArk challenge OKTA. Elevated short-term implied volatility and customer skepticism could hinder growth, with backwardation signaling potential short-term risk.

Potential Outcomes: Successful security enhancements restore trust: 60%
Further breaches impact reputation negatively: 40%
Strategic alliances drive growth: 70%
Competitive pressures limit price movement: 50%

April 10, 2025

Okta Forecast

OKTA Okta

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OKTA

DAN Dana (0.69)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.65)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.61)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.6)

WNS WNS Holdings Limited (0.57)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OKTA

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.0)

STLD Steel Dynamics (-0.0)

GES Guess (-0.0)

XRX Xerox (-0.0)

ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OKTA

PHM PulteGroup (-0.65)

MOD Modine Manufacturing (-0.66)

EIX Edison International (-0.69)

MBUU Malibu Boats (-0.71)

IRM Iron Mountain (-0.76)

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