ON Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong growth potential in EV and SiC markets, combined with confirmed strategic market positioning, signals upside potential for ON Semiconductor.




Bearish Case: High recent implied volatility, geopolitical tensions, and weak demand in tech sectors could amplify downside risks, leading to potential valuation erosion.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued EV market growth and SiC adoption bolster ON (60%).

2. Geopolitical tensions cause disruptions (25%).

3. Market volatility impacts perceptions adversely (15%).




Trading Oracle: Leverage bullish debit spreads by buying $58 call and selling $59 call, targeting short-term upside. Helium's long volatility model suggests market underestimates potential gains. Favorable reward:risk with potential 358% return.



January 15, 2025


ON Semiconductor Forecast

ON        ON Semiconductor











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