ONB Forecast


Bullish Case: ONB's strong performance post-CapStar acquisition shows growth potential, with improved net interest margins and loan growth, making it well-positioned for recovery. Institutional confidence, reflected in recent stake increases, supports this view.


Bearish Case: Ongoing pressures from high commercial real estate exposure and potential interest rate cuts may impact ONB's margins negatively, while internal management concerns could foster skepticism about sustainable growth.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance: Continued positive growth driven by successful integration of CapStar.

2. 30% chance: Negative impact from declining margins due to interest rate cuts.

3. 30% chance: Mixed outcomes from varied loan performance and market conditions.


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July 25, 2024


Old National Bancorp Forecast

ONB      Old National Bancorp











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Uncorrelated Assets

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AKRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKRO  Akero Therapeutics (0.0)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.0)


UPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPS  United Parcel Service, Inc. - (-0.0)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRZE  Braze (-0.0)


IYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IYT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ONB



DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.74)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.75)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.8)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.8)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.81)





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