AI OXY Forecast + Trading Strategies


Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish


Bullish Case: The recent stabilization of OXY's implied volatility suggests an environment conducive to potential bullish price movements. Upcoming institutional investments and possible rise in WTI crude would support a turnaround. Carbon capture initiatives may yield long-term value, enhancing market trust.


Bearish Case: Persistently low oil prices and heightened market volatility could exacerbate OXY's profitability challenges. Negative investor sentiment stemming from perceived high debt levels and increasing operational costs may lead to aggressive sell-offs, further pressuring stock performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. WTI crude price rebounds (+35%) leading to improved earnings.

2. Berkshire expands stake (+25%) boosting investor confidence.

3. Continued bearish sentiment persists (-40%) with further declines in stock value.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy by initiating a debit spread with a long position on $55 call options expiring within 14 days, selling $57 calls. This leverages potential upward price moves while providing controlled risk, targeting theta decay for effective execution.


September 06, 2024


Occidental Petroleum Forecast

OXY      Occidental Petroleum











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with OXY



GUSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GUSH  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (0.95)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (0.92)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.91)


HES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HES  Hess (0.89)


ERX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERX  Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to OXY



DHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHR  Danaher (0.0)


URA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URA  Global X Uranium (-0.0)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (-0.0)


MGM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGM  MGM Resorts International (0.0)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against OXY



SMAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMAR  Smartsheet (-0.69)


SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCO  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.7)


ERY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERY  Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (-0.7)


FXF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXF  Rydex Investments - Invesco CurrencyShares Swiss Franc (-0.76)


DRIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRIP  Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. (-0.83)





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