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OXY Forecast + Trading Strategies

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: OXY's strategic carbon capture initiatives and stable institutional support, along with potential oil price increases, position it for a potential upswing.

Bearish Case: High debt levels, volatile oil prices, and bearish market sentiment pose significant risks to OXY's financial performance and equity value.

Potential Outcomes: OXY may see improved sentiment (40%) or face continued pressure from high debt and oil price fluctuations (60%).

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by purchasing the $48 call and selling the $52 call expiring in 14 days. Leverage recent market discrepancies in implied volatility for a high probability of profit.

February 04, 2025

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