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PCF Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Increased institutional interest in sustainable investments and negligible options pressure may drive a short-term rally, leveraging favorable conditions for high-income securities.



Bearish Case: PCF historical returns surface indicates a high likelihood of negative returns over longer holding periods. Economic and political uncertainties exacerbate downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price Stability (35%): Flat action continues due to mixed social sentiment.
  • Short-Term Rally (25%): Institutional influx in sustainable assets boosts prices.
  • Short-Term Dip (20%): Economic and political uncertainties drive volatility.
  • Prolonged Decline (15%): Global instability worsens PCF sentiment.
  • Regulatory Positive Shocks (5%): Unexpected favorable regulations stimulate growth.


April 13, 2025


High Income Securities Forecast

PCF        High Income Securities

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PCF


WWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WWD  Woodward (0.67)


RYAAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RYAAY  Ryanair (0.65)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (0.63)


ZIM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZIM  Zim Integrated Shipping Services (0.6)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.58)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PCF


WNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNS  WNS Holdings Limited (-0.0)


ACAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACAD  Acadia Pharmaceuticals (0.0)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.0)


AROC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AROC  Archrock (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PCF


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (-0.46)


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.53)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.53)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.54)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.55)







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