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PCF Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Increased institutional interest in sustainable investments and negligible options pressure may drive a short-term rally, leveraging favorable conditions for high-income securities.



Bearish Case: PCF historical returns surface indicates a high likelihood of negative returns over longer holding periods. Economic and political uncertainties exacerbate downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Price Stability (35%): Flat action continues due to mixed social sentiment.
  • Short-Term Rally (25%): Institutional influx in sustainable assets boosts prices.
  • Short-Term Dip (20%): Economic and political uncertainties drive volatility.
  • Prolonged Decline (15%): Global instability worsens PCF sentiment.
  • Regulatory Positive Shocks (5%): Unexpected favorable regulations stimulate growth.


April 13, 2025


High Income Securities Forecast

PCF        High Income Securities

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PCF


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.64)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (0.63)


DAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAC  Danaos (0.62)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.58)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.54)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PCF


TPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPC  Tutor Perini (-0.0)


WNS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNS  WNS Holdings Limited (-0.0)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.0)


IWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWR  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.0)


SUPV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUPV  Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PCF


JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.53)


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.53)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.54)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.55)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.55)







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