PCG Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PCG's high call volume and steady implied volatility suggest investor confidence in potential regulatory improvements and increased renewable investments .




Bearish Case: PCG's strong backwardation and dropping stock price indicate concerns over regulatory hurdles and operational risks .




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance: Regulatory and operational improvements boost stock Helium.
  • 30% chance: Continual regulatory challenges suppress growth Helium.
  • 20% chance: Operational failures lead to setbacks Helium.




Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread, buying the PCG 03/21/2025 17.00 calls and selling the 18.00 calls, targeting March expiration. This aligns with potential short-term price recovery and mean reversion, leveraging backwardation for cost-effective entry.



January 23, 2025


PG&E Forecast

PCG        PG&E











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LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.87)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.89)









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