PCG Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Positive developments in undergrounding projects, reduced wildfire risk, and increased investor confidence point to potential stock appreciation.


Bearish Case: Persistent outages, regulatory hurdles, and high volatility indicate risks that could drive the stock lower amidst financial pressures.


Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% - Improved operations and hazard mitigation lift stock.

2. 30% - Ongoing operational issues hurt performance.

3. 20% - Legal and regulatory challenges create severe financial strain. Adjusted from previous: improved operational improvements.


Trading Oracle: Trade bullish credit spreads targeting August 2024 expirations. Sell $18 strike puts, buy $17 strike puts: high probability of profit (80%) from short volatility, benefitting from current volatility alignment. Positive edge, leveraging improved operational outlook.


July 20, 2024










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