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PDD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Despite market challenges, PDD's innovative approaches and high call option volumes indicate potential growth, supported by favorable volatility trends.

Bearish Case: Continued revenue slowdowns and regulatory pressures pose significant risks to PDD, with bearish risk outweighing bullish and volatility indicating potential downside.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance PDD rises driven by Temu's growth; 50% slow revenue sustains; 20% drop due to regulatory issues.

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December 24, 2024

Pinduoduo Forecast

PDD Pinduoduo

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PDD

RIO Rio Tinto (0.63)

WEAT Teucrium Wheat (0.6)

FLNG Flex Lng (0.6)

BIIB Biogen (0.59)

TAN Invesco Solar (0.57)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PDD

NTAP Netapp (-0.0)

BC Brunswick (-0.0)

PRAA PRA (0.0)

SAVA Cassava Sciences (0.0)

SOXS Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PDD

TPG TPG (-0.59)

XPO XPO Logistics (-0.61)

IHI BTC iShares U.S. Medical (-0.62)

V Visa (-0.62)

CLX Clorox (-0.68)

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