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PEP Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong brand and strategic investments in healthier products bolster PEP's resilience, indicated by a slightly upward history of price returns, supporting steady growth.



Bearish Case: FTC lawsuit and potential cost pressures may constrain growth, while flat volatility suggests limited upside, especially with legal uncertainties looming.



Potential Outcomes: PEP sees 60% stable growth on solid fundamentals, 30% risk from legal issues impacting short-term sentiment, 10% chance of macroeconomic pressures damping growth.



Trading Oracle: Exploit the flat term structure by selling short volatility credit spreads. Consider selling the $150-$175 call spread expiring in 53 days. This strategy profits from time decay and potential price stabilization, offering a 42% return with a positive edge. Monitor legal developments for adjustments.


January 28, 2025


Pepsico Forecast

PEP        Pepsico

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PEP


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (0.79)


HSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSY  Hershey (0.78)


JOE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOE  St. Joe (0.75)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (0.65)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PEP


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.0)


UNH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNH  Unitedhealth (0.0)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (-0.01)


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (-0.01)


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PEP


APO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APO  Apollo (-0.62)


CYBR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYBR  CyberArk Software (-0.62)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.64)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.65)


VGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VGT  Vanguard Information Technology (-0.65)







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