PFE Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: PFE's return to stable drug revenue and expanding pipeline, including promising gene therapies and potential international vaccine sales, could drive share price growth as market sentiment shifts positively.


Bearish Case: Continued decline in COVID-19 product sales and pending legal battles could further erode Pfizer's revenue, leading to investor hesitation and potential stock price depreciation.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful drug launches lead to 60% chance of revenue growth.

2. Ongoing legal challenges yield a 40% risk of negative market impact.

3. Market reacts favorably to September earnings results with 55% probability.


Trading Oracle: Utilize a bullish debit spread, buying the $31 PFE call and selling the $32 call expiring September 2024. This leverages expected volatility uptick and pivotal earnings, with a well-defined risk and potential for high reward.


July 25, 2024










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFE



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.14)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFE



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.14)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.61)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFE



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.59)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.54)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.14)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.61)





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