PFG Forecast


Bullish Case: PFG maintains its mean-reverting trend with historical returns favoring a modest upside. High options volume for calls and the price-to-book ratio signals undervaluation, suggesting potential price appreciation from current levels.


Bearish Case: Helium's volatility forecast being higher than market's suggests potential underestimation of risks. Recent price action slight decline, neutral AI forecast, and low option trading volume indicate possible stagnation or downturn.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continuation of mean-reverting trend (75%).

2. Sharp increase if undervaluation corrects (40%).

3. Period of increased volatility (50%) due to near-term market reaction.

4. Short-term stagnation or decline (25%).


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June 27, 2024


Registered Shares Forecast

PFG      Registered Shares











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.8)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.47)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFG



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.47)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.8)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFG



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.8)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.47)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.47)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.47)





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