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PFL Forecast


Bullish Case: PFL's historical return surface indicates higher probabilities for positive returns with extended holding periods, particularly beyond two years, suggesting resilience amidst current market conditions. Potential stabilization in interest rates could propel prices higher.



Bearish Case: PFL's persistent historical underperformance and current economic pressures indicate a strong likelihood of continued flat or negative returns. Factors such as rising interest rates and investor sentiment may exacerbate existing pessimism.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 35% chance of stabilized prices with slight positive return as interest rates normalize.

2. 45% chance of continued flat performance given macroeconomic pressures.

3. 20% chance of significant downturn resulting from severe market corrections.



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November 15, 2024


Pimco Income Strategy Forecast

PFL        Pimco Income Strategy

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PFL


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.72)


DOCN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOCN  DigitalOcean (0.68)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (0.63)


CLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLX  Clorox (0.63)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PFL


LESL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LESL  Leslies (-0.0)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.0)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (0.0)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.0)


UDMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDMY  Udemy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PFL


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.43)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.48)


STRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STRA  Strategic Education (-0.49)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.5)


TTEK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTEK  Tetra Tech (-0.54)







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