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PG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: PG's strong brand equity and continuous innovation, alongside a favorable market volatility profile, position it for sustained revenue growth. Anticipated easing of inflation may enhance profitability.



Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and persistent inflation could undermine PG’s pricing power, pressuring margins and potentially leading to reduced consumer demand.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued brand strength drives revenue growth (60%)
  2. Increased operational costs lead to margin compression (30%)
  3. Geopolitical tensions result in supply-chain disruptions (10%)



Trading Oracle: Engage in a bullish long-volatility strategy by buying PG $175 calls while selling $180 calls, capturing implied volatility upside as market sentiment turns positive. Target short-term expiry to optimize capital and manage risk with an approx. 22% return potential.


December 17, 2024


Procter & Gamble Forecast

PG        Procter & Gamble

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Assets that tend to move strongly with PG


CCEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCEP  Coca-Cola European (0.93)


DVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVA  DaVita (0.91)


HEI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HEI  Heico (0.9)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (0.89)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PG


VRDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRDN  Viridian Therapeutics (0.0)


LUV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUV  Southwest Airlines (-0.01)


BMY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMY  Bristol-Myers Squibb (0.01)


CALX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CALX  Calix (-0.01)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PG


ABCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABCL  AbCellera Biologics (-0.86)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)


MOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOS  Mosaic (-0.87)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.88)


JACK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JACK  Jack In The Box (-0.88)







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