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PG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PG's strong brand, consistent innovation, and market adaptability can drive revenue growth despite economic pressures.

Bearish Case: High price-to-book ratio, inflationary pressures, and potential supply chain issues could dampen profitability and investor sentiment.

Potential Outcomes: 60%: Revenue growth through innovation and market expansion.
30%: Revenue stagnation due to cost pressures and market volatility.
10%: Competitive pressures negatively impact brand positioning.

Trading Oracle: Focus on a bullish debit spread by buying $165 calls and selling $170 calls with an expiration in 30 days. Leverage low implied volatility and capitalize on potential upward price movement for a high reward:risk ratio. The approach aligns with mean-reverting price action and positive historical return likelihood.

February 02, 2025

Procter & Gamble Forecast

PG Procter & Gamble

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PG

EIX Edison International (0.83)

KO Coca-Cola (0.79)

FE Firstenergy (0.79)

EXR Extra Space Storage (0.78)

CWEN Clearway Energy (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PG

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.01)

EMR Emerson Electric (-0.01)

ILMN Illumina (0.02)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.02)

ACN Accenture (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PG

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.7)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.7)

ABCL AbCellera Biologics (-0.73)

TRIP TripAdvisor (-0.75)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.75)

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