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PG Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PG’s consistent global brand strength, coupled with recent trading gains and dividend increases, signals robust financial health. A favorable volatility surface supports growth potential.

Bearish Case: Ongoing inflationary pressures and potential supply chain issues might strain margins. High price-to-book ratios suggest possible overvaluation amidst mixed earnings outcomes.

Potential Outcomes: Future scenarios include a 60% chance of revenue growth, 30% risk from market saturation or inflation, and 10% regulatory challenges affecting outlook.

Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility: Selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts optimizes positive edge. Strong implied volatility mispricing and positive historical strategy returns justify this approach.

April 03, 2025

Procter & Gamble Forecast

PG Procter & Gamble

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PG

HIG Hartford Financial Services (0.6)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.6)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.58)

KO Coca-Cola (0.56)

CWEN Clearway Energy (0.56)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PG

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.0)

SEE Sealed Air (0.02)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.03)

HIMX Himax (-0.04)

CG Carlyle (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PG

MEOH Methanex (-0.45)

OVV Ovintiv (-0.45)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.49)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.51)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.59)

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