PII Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Polaris's new product launches and strategic acquisitions could spur sales growth. With historical trends showing positive returns over specific periods, there’s potential for recovery if market conditions align favorably.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price declines indicate market uncertainty. Ongoing legal and market challenges may further depress stock value, amplified by backwardation in implied volatilities.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance: New product success boosts stock ($85).
  • 40% chance: Legal issues persist, stock declines to $70.
  • 30% chance: Stable conditions keep prices near $75.



May 14, 2025


Polaris Forecast

PII        Polaris
















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