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PM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PM's robust dividend yield and market dominance in smoke-free products suggest sustainable growth. Increased call option volume indicates bullish sentiment.

Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and insider selling persist as significant threats, contributing to market uncertainty and potential price declines. Historical mean reversion suggests limited upside.

Potential Outcomes: 45% rise due to smoke-free growth; 35% decline from regulatory/insider challenges; 20% stability in absence of catalysts.

Trading Oracle: Sell a bullish put credit spread at $120-$125 expiring in March. Implied volatility is high now, but trends indicate stabilization. This strategy capitalizes on bullish sentiment, high dividend yield, and smoke-free growth while guarding against regulatory impacts.

January 03, 2025

Philip Morris International Forecast

PM Philip Morris International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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