PM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong smoke-free product growth and high dividend appeal. Stable implied volatility suggests reduced downside risk. Investor sentiment is turning favorable.




Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and insider selling persist. Market sentiment remains cautious due to ethical concerns and potential government actions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% increase driven by smoke-free growth and dividend appeal.
  • 30% regulatory-induced decline.
  • 20% stability absent major catalysts.



May 04, 2025










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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PM



GROY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GROY  Gold Royalty (0.01)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.01)


IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (-0.02)


APPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPN  Appian (0.02)


DPZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPZ  Dominos Pizza (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PM



VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.9)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.9)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.91)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.92)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.93)









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