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PM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong smoke-free product growth and high dividend appeal. Stable implied volatility suggests reduced downside risk. Investor sentiment is turning favorable.

Bearish Case: Regulatory risks and insider selling persist. Market sentiment remains cautious due to ethical concerns and potential government actions.

Potential Outcomes: 50% increase driven by smoke-free growth and dividend appeal.
30% regulatory-induced decline.
20% stability absent major catalysts.

May 04, 2025

Philip Morris International Forecast

PM Philip Morris International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PM

ROIV Roivant Sciences (0.0)

ROST Ross Stores (-0.01)

VOD Vodafone (-0.01)

APG APi (-0.03)

MOD Modine Manufacturing (-0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PM

ADNT Adient (-0.9)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.91)

GES Guess (-0.92)

XRX Xerox (-0.92)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.93)

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