PM Forecast


Bullish Case: PM's focus on smoke-free products, like IQOS and ZYN, and attractive dividend yield can drive investor interest and uplift stock price. Options volume suggests bullish sentiment.


Bearish Case: Ongoing regulatory challenges and potential backlash on ZYN could lead to price stagnation. High implied volatility indicates increased market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes: 30%: Regulatory issues suppress stock price. 40%: Smoke-free initiatives drive growth. 30%: Stable performance with moderate volatility.


Trading Oracle: Sell near-term put credit spreads around $100-105 to capitalize on high IV and market stability. The focus on smoke-free products, along with recent positive earnings forecasts, suggests limited downside risk in the near term. Adjust strategies based on regulatory updates.


July 13, 2024


Philip Morris International Forecast

PM      Philip Morris International











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POR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POR  Portland General Electric (0.8)



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DHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHI  D.R. Horton (0.0)


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CBRL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRL  Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PM



AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.63)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (-0.64)


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YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


FXP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXP  ProShares UltraShort FTSE China 50 (-0.71)





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