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PM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: PM's transition to smoke-free products and strong dividend yield attract ESG-focused investors, supported by social sentiment and trading volume dominance in calls over puts, indicating a bullish trend.

Bearish Case: Regulatory challenges and insider selling concerns create uncertainties, exacerbated by high short-term implied volatility and mean-reverting price action, suggesting potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of rise on smoke-free growth; 30% drop due to regulatory issues; 30% stability with mixed signals.

Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy: Favoring bullish short volatility due to high call volume and lower implied volatility predictions, using short puts to capitalize on expected price stability and growth in smoke-free products.

April 06, 2025

Philip Morris International Forecast

PM Philip Morris International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PM

ORI Old Republic International (0.89)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.85)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.84)

SATS EchoStar (0.83)

FNF Fidelity National Financial (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PM

VOD Vodafone (-0.01)

ROST Ross Stores (-0.01)

APG APi (-0.03)

EXAS Exact Sciences (-0.06)

DAN Dana (0.06)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PM

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.89)

ADNT Adient (-0.9)

COTY Coty (-0.91)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.91)

GES Guess (-0.92)

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