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POOL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: POOL's DeFi integration and high community optimism can drive growth, supported by a 25% greater bullish risk profile.

Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and regulatory issues may lead to a decline, as indicated by high implied volatility at lower strikes.

Potential Outcomes: Stable growth (45%) due to DeFi integration.
Economic downturn affects price (30%).
Regulatory shifts impact negatively (25%).

May 20, 2025

Pool Forecast

POOL Pool

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with POOL

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.82)

BZH Beazer Homes USA (0.79)

PHM PulteGroup (0.79)

OMC Omnicom Group (0.78)

WD Walker & Dunlop (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to POOL

GRAB Grab Holdings Limited (-0.0)

YINN Direxion Daily FTSE China Bull 3X Shares (0.01)

AMZN Amazon.com (0.01)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.02)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against POOL

NTR Nutrien (-0.38)

GFI Gold Fields (-0.41)

TBF ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.45)

HIMX Himax (-0.47)

ETR Entergy (-0.48)

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