PPL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: PPL shows strong mean reverting behavior and a historically stable return profile, indicating underlying robustness. The bullish risk is 42% higher than bearish, suggesting more upside potential. Near-term call spreads offer attractive risk-adjusted returns.


Bearish Case: Despite mean reverting price action, PPL's historical returns show a higher likelihood of negative returns. Elevated implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, cautioned by higher than market-implied volatility. Near-term options suggest downside protection might be warranted.


Potential Outcomes: Bullish outcomes (60%) hinge on mean reversion and steady demand growth. Bearish outcomes (40%) reflect elevated volatility and potential economic setbacks. Regulatory shifts remain a low-probability disruptor.


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May 28, 2024


PPL Forecast

PPL        PPL
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with PPL



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.92)


DTE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DTE  DTE Energy (0.9)


AEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEP  American Electric Power (0.89)


HASI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HASI  Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure (0.86)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.85)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to PPL



CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CME  CME (-0.0)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.0)


LAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAD  Lithia Motors (0.0)


LKQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LKQ  LKQ (0.0)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against PPL



TSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSAT  Telesat Corp (-0.7)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.7)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.74)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.75)


DUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUST  Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X S (-0.79)





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