PSEC Forecast


Bullish Case: PSEC offers an attractive dividend yield and recent focus on high-quality real estate investments. Potential upside if economic conditions improve and market sentiment turns positive.


Bearish Case: Weak portfolio quality and declining investment income raise concerns. High options trading volume, particularly puts, suggests market bearishness, reinforced by flat to declining price trends.


Potential Outcomes: 40% chance PSEC remains stable with minor fluctuations, 30% chance declines with economic uncertainties, 20% chance recovery with strong dividends, 10% chance significant gains from strategic investments.


Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish short volatility strategy, targeting near-term expirations. Favor $6.0 strike call options expiring in Nov 2024. This captures premium decay with high implied volatility and leverages current market uncertainty. Estimated profit probability: 81%, high reward-to-risk ratio, capitalizing on flat or declining price action.


June 30, 2024


Prospect Forecast

PSEC      Prospect











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSEC



BMBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMBL  Bumble (0.88)


APPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APPS  Digital Turbine (0.87)


CSIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CSIQ  Canadian Solar (0.86)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.86)


GXO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GXO  GXO Logistics (0.86)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSEC



IONS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONS  Ionis Pharmaceuticals (-0.0)


ALC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALC  Alcon (0.0)


FOUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FOUR  Shift4 Payments (-0.0)


URTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URTY  ProShares UltraPro Russell2000 (-0.0)


GPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPN  Global Payments (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSEC



FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.78)


FTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTI  TechnipFMC (-0.8)


LBRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LBRT  Liberty Oilfield Services (-0.8)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.8)


YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.83)





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