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PSR Forecast



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Increasing demand for U.S. real estate and favorable economic indicators may drive PSR above $100. If market sentiment stabilizes, we could see substantial upside potential.



Bearish Case: Persistent regulatory concerns and economic uncertainties may push PSR below $90, with high implied volatility reflecting market apprehensions and potential downside risks.



Potential Outcomes:

1. PSR rallies above $100 (25%);

2. Stabilizes around $95 (35%);

3. Drops below $90 (40%). The varied historical return likelihood supports these projections and reflects market sentiment swings.



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November 17, 2024


Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate Forecast

PSR        Invesco Active U.S. Real Estate

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PSR


EVGO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EVGO  EVgo (0.92)


VNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNO  Vornado Realty (0.89)


TRP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRP  TC Energy (0.89)


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (0.89)


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSR


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (0.0)


GOOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOG  Alphabet (0.01)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (-0.01)


BBAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAI  BigBear.ai (-0.01)


GOOGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOOGL  Alphabet (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSR


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (-0.76)


CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.77)


CTAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTAS  Cintas (-0.78)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.8)


ALV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALV  Autoliv (-0.82)







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